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International Maritime Organization (IMO) Secretary-General Kitack Lim is urging governments to take swift action to resolve the crew change crisis that has left several hundred thousand seafarers stranded at sea and unable to be repatriated despite the expiry of their contracts.

It is estimated that more than 300,000 mariners are stuck at sea, and a similar number of seafarers have been unable to join ships and relieve them due to restrictions imposed by several governments in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, including restrictions on travel, embarkation and disembarkation in ports, quarantine measures, reductions in available flights and limits on the issuing of visas and passports.

Lim, who has called the situation a humanitarian crisis, expressed concern not only for seafarers’ health and wellbeing, but also for the safety of shipping, as overly fatigued and mentally exhausted seafarers are being asked to continue operating vessels, increasing the risk of shipping casualties. Some seafarers have now been on board their ships for more than 17 months, exceeding the 11-months limit set out in the Maritime Labor Convention (MLC). Many have been denied proper access to medical care and shore leave, in breach of their rights under the MLC and other international instruments.

This week the IMO head issued strong statement ahead of the General Assembly of the United Nations calling on governments in fresh call to action to resolve the crew change crisis.’

“While significant progress has been made by many countries in allowing for crew changes for all seafarers, the rate of progress is not keeping pace with the backlog of ships requiring crew changes,” Lim said.

“Seafarers cannot remain at sea indefinitely,” Lim continued. “If the crew change crisis is not resolved soon, ships will no longer be able to operate safely pursuant to the Organization’s regulations and guidelines, further exacerbating the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.”

Lim said that resolving the crew change crisis will require a “whole of government” approach involving several ministries. He reiterated his call to all Member States to designate seafarers as key workers providing an essential service, and to implement the IMO-approved protocols to allow for safe and secure crew changes. The IMO Secretary-General also insisted on the importance of removing other barriers to crew changes, such as visa and travel restrictions, and of providing seafarers with immediate access to medical care and medical facilities on shore, when needed.

Over the past several months, the IMO has issued numerous top-level statements, held bilateral meetings at a diplomatic level and established the Seafarer Crisis Action team to help stranded seafarers. United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres has also urged all countries in the world to recognize seafarers as key workers and provide the necessary travel assistance to ensure safe crew changeovers and repatriations.

Lim invited Member States to raise the issue of seafarers and the crew change crisis during the upcoming High-Level Week of the 75th session of the United Nations General Assembly, beginning on September 22. ILO, IMO and the UN Global Compact will host a side event during that week to raise the visibility of the crew change crisis on World Maritime Day, September 24.

“Working together, this challenge to shipping and seafarers can be overcome,” Lim said.

Source: marinelink


In an effort to protect Arctic waters from the harmful effects of heavy fuel oil (HFO) the International Maritime Organization (IMO) and its member states have been working on a ban of HFO for more than a decade.

Now researchers warn that the draft regulation for the Arctic contains too many exceptions and waivers which would exempt most ships from the new regulation until 2029.

“The IMO’s proposed HFO ban contains so many loopholes that it’s no ban at all,” the new study by the International Council on Clean Transportation, an independent nonprofit organization, concludes.

Heavy fuel oil is the cheapest and dirtiest type of marine fuel resulting in harmful Black Carbon emissions and posing a serious risk to the marine environment in the event of a spill. Its use has been banned for all vessels without exceptions in the waters surrounding Antarctica for almost a decade.

It’s well beyond time that the Arctic receives the same protection as Antarctica.
Dr. Bryan Comer, senior marine researcher at the International Council on Clean Transportation.

The proposed ban comes at a time when the use of HFO and Black Carbon emissions in the Arctic have increased at a worrying pace, researchers say. Between 2015 and 2019 HFO use increased by 75% and Black Carbon emissions from HFO grew by 72%. More than 700 vessels using HFO as fuel traveled throughout the Arctic carrying more 500,000 tons of HFO as fuel.

In its currently proposed form the ban would only cover a small fraction of vessels traveling in the Arctic and reduce the use of HFO by only 16% and Black Carbon emissions by only 5%.

“The IMO’s proposed HFO ban is nothing of the sort. As written, it bans less than one-third of HFO carried and less than one-sixth of HFO used by ships in the Arctic,” explains Dr. Bryan Comer, senior marine researcher at the International Council on Clean Transportation.

Too many exemptions and waivers

Earlier this year the IMO’s subcommittee on the Prevention and Response to Pollution had agreed on a draft text proposing a ban on the use and transport of HFO to take effect by mid-2024. At the time environmental groups criticized a number of loopholes, including that vessels flying the flag of Arctic coastal states would be exempt until 2029 under certain conditions.

However, it wasn’t fully understood until now just how ineffective the proposed regulation would be at curtailing the carriage and use of HFO and black carbon emissions.

The draft regulation allows for exemptions and waivers for certain vessels in internal waters, territorial seas and the Exclusive Economic Zones of the Arctic coastal states.

Ships that separate their fuel tanks from their outer hull by at least 76 centimeters can continue to use HFO as fuel until mid-2029. In addition, vessels flagged to the five Arctic coast states – Russia, Canda, the U.S., Denmark, and Norway – can choose to exempt their vessels when operating in their waters. Together these loopholes would allow almost 75% of vessels that operated in the Arctic in 2019 to continue using HFO.

Time to protect the Arctic

The researchers highlight the urgent need to protect the Arctic marine environment.

“HFO has already been banned in the Antarctic since 2011, without exemptions or waivers. It’s well beyond time that the Arctic receives the same protections,” urges Comer.

A number of recent shipping accidents, including the spill of 1,000 tons of HFO when the Wakashio bulk carrier broke apart off the coast of Mauritius last month, highlight the need for action.

Thus far the Arctic Ocean has escaped a large-scale spill but has come dangerously close on several occasions. In 2017, Danish bulk carrier Nordic Barents collided with the nuclear icebreaker Vaygach fortunately not resulting in any spill. In 2013 the tanker Nordvik was struck by ice and started to take on water before the crew was able to stop the ingress and in July 2010 two fully-laden Russian oil tankers, the Indiga and the Varzuga, collided in medium ice conditions and poor visibility.

Russian opposition to stronger regulations

The study calls for fewer exemptions and waivers or at least to more clearly specify where waivers can be issued. In total the study suggests and evaluates six alternatives on how to strengthen the currently-proposed ban.

“IMO member states should at the very least clarify where waivers may be issued. The current text is so vague that it could allow Arctic countries to grant waivers inside their entire Exclusive Economic Zone [extending 200 nautical miles from shore],” says Comer.

If waivers were to be limited to internal and territorial waters – 12 nautical miles – the use of HFO could be reduced by a factor of two.

It is unlikely that Russia will agree to such a change as it was the lone Arctic state opposing a HFO ban and only conceded after it secured the aforementioned waiver for Russian-flagged vessels within its waters.

Russian vessels traveling along the country’s Northern Sea Route (NSR) routinely violate Russian safety and navigation rules, adding even more urgency to putting in place an effective HFO ban under the auspices of the IMO.

As High North News reported, in 2017 nearly 100 ships, accounting for 20% of all Russian-flagged vessels along the NSR, violated safety rules. Russia’s Northern Sea Route Administration stopped publishing data on these violations in 2018 and has not made the data available to HNN for the years 2018-2020.


I wasn’t surprised when I stumbled on numerous news and information, telling about pandemic-immune class of people – rich people. They fly around the world and visit their favorite places, hardly aware of all that pandemic chaos and mess. They don’t care, they have private jets and enough money to be considered and treated, as absolutely immune. So far, I singled out three groups of – well, kind of people, who’re immune to virus, by definition:
Rich, celebs, politicians – elites, to put it short;
Members of mobs and “movements”, such as BLM/Antifa, Green, pro-migrant, anti-Trump;
Illegal migrants.
Common, hard-working and honest folks, who’re feeding the abovelisted scum, are looked at, and treated, as either criminals, or rabid animals.
Crew change crisis could be solved already, but instead, it is continuing to worsen. No maritime organization did offer any valid, realistic, radical solutions, such as:
Organizing private jets (and commercial planes) net with several main hubs around the globe;
Enforcing governments to accept and practice Seamen Green Pass Rule;
Removing all the unnecessary, rights abusive, restrictions and rules, such as listed in disgusting, Gestapo-style, IMO 12-step plan;
Imposing heavy surcharges on all import/export freights to countries, which continue treating seamen in a hostile, abusive manner;
Implementing special charter clause, which will compel nations’ shippers to share financial burdens of crew change.
Maritime bodies led by IMO/ILO, do essentially, nothing, except paying lip-service, mixed with the abundance of cheap, pathetic rhetoric. It is not accidental or a mistake or because these bodies are run by wrong persons. They are run by exactly the kind of persons required for the fulfillment of UN agenda – wiping out private shipping and taking all the shipping, including seamen, under total control.
Tactic the use is very simple, nothing new – divide and conquer, drive a wedge between seamen and shipowners. They attack private shipowners and do all they can, to make shipowners responsible for crew changes, hampering and foiling each and every attempt to work out universal solution to this crisis. MUA and AMSA activities in Australia (or should I say, Socialist Republic of Australia?) are the best illustration.
They develop and try to implement, most insane, humiliating and ineffective, plans to standardize crew change requirements, IMO 12-step plan being the best illustration.
Now it’s time for next step – for branding seamen like cattle, with electronic devices:
Dario Alampay, chairman of the Joint Manning Group based in Manila, is calling for a global approach to have all seafarers of all nationalities adopt a common digital quarantine pass recorded via blockchain as well as a seamless contact tracing system.
He didn’t go into details, but his idea is clear, it’s already propagated by mainstream media and politicians – it’s an electronic bracelet, at best, but the final goal is implanted chip. Chip which will spy on us, track us, and send all our private and sensitive information, to organizations we know nothing about, to unknown for us use. I don’t know who this Alampay is, and don’t want to know. The only thing I’m interested in, is this idea – did Alampay thought it out all by himself, or was he “advised” by some third party?
In the end, I invite readers to listen to an interview, given by one “Brandt Wagner, the International Labour Organization’s point man for shipping”, specifically on crew change crisis occasion.
Try to listen to all of it, and then listen again. Try to find out an atom of something directly related to crew change crisis and ways to solve it. It’s like, you know, an interview with a person from another planet or universe. ILO and Maritime Labor Convention are the key, that’s the golden thread of the speech. Key to what? Why should we talk about this nonsense anyway, in the middle of the heaviest human crisis shipping ever encountered? Interview is just one more illustration of “elites” priorities and attitudes, morals (lack of it) and principles. You want to hear about some resolute, decisive steps and decisions to solve unbearable problem of crew change? Instead, you’re giving a lecture on importance of Maritime Labor total control by means of MLC.

Source: maritimebulletin


The dry bulk industry could meet the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) mandate on greenhouse gases (GHG), through the use of alternative fuels such as ammonia, battery and hydrogen fuel cells, according to Star Bulk Carriers chief executive Hamish Norton.

In this interview, Norton discusses where the company stands in meeting the IMO 2030 GHG goals, how the IMO’s sulphur regulation has affected bunkering operations and more. This interview has been edited for clarity and brevity.

Did the IMO 2020 sulphur regulation have an effect on your bunkering operations, like a lack of high sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) or very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) availability?

We rarely encountered non-availability of both sorts of fuel and that was only occasionally in specific ports, e.g. Fujairah, or smaller Chinese ports, and we learned of potential delays in many ports, large and small.

However, neither availability nor timing became a problem for us because we were able to deal with both potential problems by planning ahead. Instead of beginning the process of finding fuel three or four days before we needed it, we started planning 10 days or even two weeks ahead.

Additionally, we entered into term contracts, which guaranteed availability. The market has calmed down quite a bit now for both fuel grades, and we are back to lead times of 6-8 days.

Have you encountered off-specification VLSFO batches ?

We have not encountered off-spec VLSFO as we burn essentially no VLSFO. As the vast majority of our fleet are equipped with scrubbers, we burn primarily HSFO and supplement that with low sulphur marine gasoil (LSMGO). We have not experienced off-spec HSFO or LSMGO.

How much bunker fuel does Star Bulk burn per year, and do you procure bunkers on a spot basis, a term basis or both?

We burn approximately 700,000 tons/yr, depending, of course, on the average speed of the fleet in a given year, which correlates positively with charter rates and negatively with fuel prices.

We have not hedged fuel prices so far, although we have hedged the spread between HSFO and VLSFO for about 100,000 tons this year. We do not only procure bunkers on a spot basis but have also entered into term contracts.

How many vessels does Star Bulk have with scrubbers? Were there plans for more installations in 2020 that were delayed or cancelled?

We have 114 vessels fitted with scrubbers. No scrubber installations were cancelled.

As with every other shipowner who has installed scrubbers, there were delays, which became progressively worse after the first quarter of 2019. We were able to get all the scrubbers installed successfully by the end of the first quarter of 2020.

Has procuring HSFO to burn on your vessels with scrubbers been a problem? If so, in which ports?

We have not had any trouble procuring HSFO, but to a greater extent than before 2020, we must think about which ports to use for bunker procurement, and we have to plan ahead to a greater degree.

There are certainly fewer ports with HSFO (Indian ports, for example, or occasionally South Africa) but overall HSFO supply has been much better than anticipated in late 2019.

Do you expect interest in scrubber investments to grow once the pandemic is over?

We believe that the economics of owning scrubbers will improve when consumption of refined petroleum products increases, which should cause refinery utilization to increase.

We have no idea if the improved economics will reignite interest in scrubber investments.

Are there any particular fuels (such as hydrogen, LNG, ammonia, etc.) that you think the dry bulk shipping industry will embrace more than others to achieve IMO’s 2030 and IMO’s 2050 greenhouse emissions reduction targets?

If we had to guess what fuels the dry bulk shipping industry will use to meet the 2030 mandate, we would probably guess liquid petroleum products, augmented with speed reductions, engine improvements, hybrid electricity production on board, hull and propeller improvements and hull friction reduction.

There are several zero emission fuels which are currently being assessed by the industry, such as biofuels, hydrogen from renewable sources and ammonia from renewable sources.

Are there particular low-carbon fuels Star Bulk is considering?

Ammonia seems to be an attractive scenario except for its toxicity as it is truly carbon free if made from renewable electricity and is also scalable. Batteries or hydrogen fuel cells could also be promising for shorter-distance shipping.

Biofuels may also contribute to the industry’s decarbonization, however, demand from other sectors is expected to limit the availability of truly sustainable biofuels.

Other shipping companies say they achieved IMO 2030’s greenhouse gas emission goals in 2019. Is Star Bulk on track to achieving IMO’s 2030 goals, and by what means?

Star Bulk is on track to achieving IMO’s 2030 goals. Star Bulk has an energy efficiency management plan in place and has been taking a series of operational measures to optimize our fleet’s performance, including the application of weather routing systems and speed management practices.

Since 2018 we have utilized our vessel performance monitoring system to measure greenhouse gas emissions, and we are happy to report an improvement in our fleet’s energy efficiency operating index.

Do you think IMO’s 2030 greenhouse gas emission goals are ambitious enough?

Given the current state of energy saving technology, we view the 2030 emission goals as relatively ambitious, though we would be happy if the shipping industry performed even better than the goals that have already been set.

Do you think IMO’s 2050 greenhouse gas emission goals are easily achievable?

The 2050 goals require the introduction of carbon neutral fuels, along with the infrastructure to produce, transport and store them as well as the technology to burn those.

It is probable that decarbonization of the shipping industry will be driven by more than one zero emission fuel and different infrastructure technologies.

Star Bulk is also participating in feasibility studies for certain fuels that have the potential of being carbon neutral. We believe that it is only through partnerships and collaboration among different industry stakeholders that the transition to 2050 can be achieved.

How has the US-China trade war affected dry bulk rates, and do you expect it to during the second half of the year? Do the US election result play a role?

US-China trade clearly affects the psychology of the market, but it does not affect ton-miles very much. China buys soybeans, and their purchases of soybeans have been increasing as their pig population has been recovering from African Swine Fever.

But the alternative sources of soybeans in Latin America produce more ton-miles of demand than the relatively closer supply from the US Gulf.

We do not believe the election in the US is likely to have much influence on the dry bulk market.

A number of shipowners said emissions regulation uncertainty prevents them from ordering more ships. Is this uncertainty a major factor in your newbuild orders? What is Star Bulk’s orderbook?

We have no ships on order. Uncertainty about the economic life of a ship ordered today but having to operate in a future world in which regulations may change rapidly certainly affects our thinking about an investment in a ship, and we believe such uncertainty affects the thinking of most other shipowners in a position to order a ship.

We believe that such uncertainty is likely to keep the order book for ships of all types smaller than it would otherwise be. This reduction in ordering is a good thing and has to happen if the shipping fleet is going to meet the 2050 rules.

The shortage of ships over the long term will cause shipping rates to increase. The ships that will eventually become available to meet the 2050 standards will be expensive. One needs high rates to justify an investment in expensive ships. The market will solve the greenhouse gas problem if given the right incentives.


Shipowners are also lacking the finances to make purchases, according to Ralph Leszczynski, head of research at shipbroker Banchero Costa & Co. “Most shipping markets are coming from a relatively poor decade, 2009 to 2019, in terms of earnings so most shipowners do not have that much cash in their pockets,” he said. “External finance is also in short supply as banks

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Comments of the Day

28 August 2020

 

Video commentary for August 27th 2020

 

Eoin Treacy’s view

A link to today’s video commentary is posted in the Subscriber’s Area.

Some of the topics discused include: Fed is going to run the economy hot. Bonds suffer, gold eases, stocks form, Dollar volatile.

 

Powell Fed Shift Allows for Higher Employment and Inflation

This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

The new strategy is being undertaken to tackle years of too-low inflation. It hands the central bank flexibility to let the job market run hotter and price pressures float higher before taking action as it may previously have done.

“They really, really, really are not going to be raising interest rates any time soon,” said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING Financial Markets. “The Fed is saying rates will be lower for longer, but don’t worry inflation is not going to be picking up.”

While it doesn’t target a specific rate of unemployment broadly or for certain demographic groups, the approach may help address other weaknesses in the economy.

During the longest U.S. economic expansion on record until the pandemic hit earlier this year, many groups benefited — including minorities and women. With millions out of work and unrest flaring up across the U.S. over racial inequality, questions about how the Fed’s policy helps diverse communities have been raised.

 

Eoin Treacy’s view

The Fed is happy to run the economy hot. That begs the question what happens next? Will they attempt to support the Treasury market in what is already de facto yield curve control? As the economy responds to the trillions in new liquidity, how will the Fed react to the rise in the velocity of money? If they are willing to run the economy hot a somewhat steeper yield curve is desirable but stoking inflation can have many unintended consequences.

 

No One Wants to Buy Ships as Virus, IMO Rules Hit Demand Hard

This article by Krystal Chia and Annie Lee for Bloomberg may be of interest to Subscriber’s Area. Here is a section:

Shipowners are also lacking the finances to make purchases, according to Ralph Leszczynski, head of research at shipbroker Banchero Costa & Co.

“Most shipping markets are coming from a relatively poor decade, 2009 to 2019, in terms of earnings so most shipowners do not have that much cash in their pockets,” he said. “External finance is also in short supply as banks are now largely steering clear off shipping after the defaults they suffered after 2008.”

Still, fewer orders and slower fleet growth will likely bolster shipping rates. Lines are likely to continue to keep capacity in check into 2021 to minimize the impact from slowing global trade, said IHS Markit’s Kapoor.

That’s already translating to increasing costs for transporting goods by ocean liner, with one benchmark of trans-Pacific container rates more than doubling since late-May to a record. Bulk-carrier costs have also rebounded from a four-year low. Maersk, which idled about 20% of its capacity in April before gradually reinstating it in subsequent months, saw earnings beat estimates in part due to improved freight rates.

 

Eoin Treacy’s view

When new regulation imposes new costs that are greater than the value of the original asset it raises important questions about the sustainability of businesses. Installing new engines in new ships is an ideal solution but its expensive. Meanwhile the lesser of two evils are scrubbers to the emissions but these often exceed the value of older ships. This is a recipe for a loss of supply from the global shipping fleet.

 

Equity Insights: EU’s ‘Hamilton Light’ Recovery Plan Marks a Paradigm Shift, and Markets Cheered

This article by Anik Sen for PineBridge Investments may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

The EC’s paradigm shift

By becoming the borrower through its issuance of €750 billion of debt, the EC sets a new precedent while becoming a major new force in the sovereign debt markets. It is also expected to demonstrate maximum flexibility in managing its debt to achieve the most favorable terms for the member states. The bonds are expected to be repaid through the EU budget through the end of 2058. New tax revenues have been proposed, such as a plastic levy, a digital tax, and a review of the EU Emissions Trading System.

The recovery plan marks a significant moment in which EU Leaders recognized the need to create a new structure for raising funds under the auspices of the EC and funded by the EU budget. This structure has a strong likelihood of becoming a permanent funding mechanism at the EU level for emergency programs and other funding needs for the fiscally weak member states. They have also acted swiftly to stem the risks to the eurozone’s stability from alarmingly high fiscal deficits, and to front-load the raising of funds in order to plug the enormous fiscal gaps into the future. They have recognized the need to move away from the failed austerity approach of the past and to adopt a pro-growth policy through grants and loans on attractive terms with light conditionality – a major departure from the past.

‘Hamilton light’ plan is an auspicious beginning

The recovery plan could well become a permanent feature for the EU, serving to underpin the debt issued by the periphery member states. This has enormous significance for the EU banking industry, which has become reliant on the ECB’s QE programs for its stability and capital adequacy. If the fear of default is truly removed for any eurozone sovereign debt, without assuming intervention by the ECB, there could be broader implications for financial system integration within Europe, with cross-border mergers and acquisitions within the EU finally taking place. This is sorely needed to drive greater scale in a banking system that has poor profitability compared to that of the US.

The recovery fund may not be quite as far-reaching as Alexander Hamilton’s re-ordering of the financial system in the newly born United States. However, the progress made by EU leaders this summer points to a measured yet pivotal step toward very similar ends.

 

Eoin Treacy’s view

Europe has just created Federal bonds which will be repaid from the bloc’s budget. New taxes are being proposed to increase the size of the budget and there are aspirations for the system to become permanent.

 

Eoin’s personal portfolio: last updated on August 11th

Eoin Treacy’s view

One of the most commonly asked questions by subscribers is how to find details of my open traders. In an effort to make it easier I will simply repost the latest summary daily until there is a change. I’ll change the title to the date of publication of new details so you will know when the information was provided.

 

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LONDON: Royal Dutch Shell has struck a deal with Dutch tank terminal firm HES International to partially restart a German oil refinery mothballed since 2011 in response to new restrictions on marine fuels, two trading sources told Reuters.

A new cap set by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) that will cut the sulphur content in shipping fuel to 0.5 percent from 3.5 percent from next year is set to be one of the biggest fundamental events to hit oil markets in years.

HES Wilhelmshaven Tank Terminal is in the process of reinstalling the vacuum distillation unit (VDU) at Wilhelmshaven to produce low-sulphur bunker fuels ahead of the implementation of the IMO rules, a spokeswoman for the company said.

HES said it had “reached a tolling agreement with a customer,” but declined to comment on the parties involved.

However, two trading sources with knowledge of the matter told Reuters the customer in question is Shell. Shell declined to comment.

The agreement is akin to a processing deal, whereby Shell brings in the feedstock and handles the end product, one of the sources said.

HES bought the 260,000 barrel per day (bpd) refinery from ConocoPhillips in 2011 and converted it into a large-scale tank terminal facility with capacity of 1.3 million cubic metres.

The plant’s refining capacity was shuttered at a time when several European refineries were finding it uncompetitive to remain operational, as newer, more complex mega-refineries emerged in other regions like the Middle East and Asia.

But as the new IMO rules dictate a massive shift in oil product slates from higher to low sulphur, the economics are shifting and oil companies and traders are resorting to creative ideas to meet the new demand.

The IMO sulphur restrictions will lead high-sulphur fuel oil demand to fall 60 percent to 1.4 million bpd next year, while marine gasoil demand will more than double to 2 million bpd, the International Energy Agency forecast this week.

Vacuum distillation is an integral part of the refining process. VDUs typically run on residual fuel produced from distilling crude to produce vacuum gasoil which is then used to feed upgrading units that make gasoline and diesel.

However, the Wilhelmshaven VDU will not be running on residual fuel, HES said.

One of the sources said the plan is to process heavy, low-sulphur crudes like Brazilian grades to produce a range of products, including maximum 0.5 percent sulphur fuel oil or distillate marine fuels.

HES is 70 percent owned by private investment firm Riverstone, with the remaining 30 percent held by the Carlyle Group.

Infrastructure funds managed by banks Macquarie and Goldman Sachs agreed in principle last year to buy the company.

Source: energy.economictimes.indiatimes


CMA CGM has introduced a Low Sulphur Surcharge (LSS20) effective December 1st, 2019 to cover the increase in fuel-related costs associated with the implementation of the IMO 2020 regulation.

As from October 1st, 2020, taking into consideration the current price of VLSFO, CMA CGM informs its customers that this Low Sulphur Surcharge is not applicable and may come back later as per our formula.

Please contact your local CMA CGM office should you require information about any other pricing information

(*) The associated basic freights are available here. Other Bunker related surcharges, THC (Origin and Destination), Peak Season charges and similar charges and Safety and Security-related surcharges may also apply and are accessible at http://www.cma-cgm.com/ebusiness/tariffs/charge-finder. Other charges such as Contingency charges and local charges may also apply.


  • The supply of VLSFO has proven more than adequate amid COVID-19.
  • Call on marine gasoil (MGO) as an expensive alternative has been less than expected.
  • Refiners have adjusted their crude sales and changed their blend component pools.
  • The use of marine gasoil in engines has not increased as rapidly.
  • This is attributed to the fact that ship engineers think in terms of volume rather than the energy content.
  • Competition for low sulphur heavy gasoil and waxy streams has increased.
  • The price of solar and wind continues to decrease steadily with increase in battery storage technology.
  • The cost of hydrogen production is plummeting due to a likely surge in the availability of cheap renewable power.

According to an article published in The Manifold Times and Petroleum-Economist, the new rules on the sulphur content of shipping fuels came into force this year. This article revisits 2018 predictions to see what turned out as expected and what surprised.

Demand weakens due to COVID-19

It is easy to forget that, pre-COVID, new International Maritime Organization (IMO) 2020 regulations reducing the maximum sulphur content in much of the world’s bunker fuels from 3.5pc to 0.5pc were expected to be one of the dominant narratives in the year’s oil price dynamics.

The demand hit in the wake of pandemic’s global restrictions has, as well as eclipsing IMO 2020’s significance, also dampened its impact, as anticipated pressure on supply has been greatly reduced. Nonetheless, the effects are being felt—if more in the background than might have been expected.

Story so far

Among the most notable observations as yet, the supply of very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) has proven more than adequate, while the call on marine gasoil (MGO) as an expensive alternative has been less than expected.

Refiners have adjusted their crude sales and changed their blend component pools. And many have strengthened their direct position in the bunkering markets with their own—sometimes proprietary—blends of VLSFO.

The use of marine gasoil in engines has not increased as rapidly as we thought, perhaps as ship engineers still think in terms of volume rather than the energy content.

Competition for low sulphur heavy gasoil and waxy streams has increased, which has generated a revival in hydroskimming economics. And low sulphur vacuum gasoil (LSVGO) has become a reference both for cracker feedstock pricing and for bunker economics.

Supply of alternative fuels

Supply of other alternative fuels continues to be developed, most notably LNG—the fastest-growing and most scalable—with supply infrastructure expanding steadily. But these fuels, which also include methanol and ammonia, will act chiefly to achieve the targets set out in the IMO 2050 decarbonization agenda

On the other hand, scrubbing economics continues to hang in the balance. It is our expectation that scrubbing as a technology will be no more than a short-term solution, as shipowners switch to cleaner fuel alternatives.

Channoil revisited some work it did in 2018 on potential IMO 2020 impacts and looked in some depth at what it got right and wrong on the potential implications for various types of stakeholders compared with what we have seen so far (see Figs. 1-4).

Moving forward

Less than eight months in, and a highly unusual eight months at that, the IMO 2020 story is far from over. We must also look ahead to what might happen next. The outlook for fuels and distillate prices is confused due to a number of ‘known unknowns’, including:

  • Uptake of renewable fuels
  • Uptake of electric cars and their impact on power generation
  • The potential impact of carbon capture and storage
  • Growth in coker investments
  • Growth in LNG/LPG/methanol as bunker fuels
  • Impact of incompatibility within new blended fuels
  • Potential for cheaper scrubber technology
  • Other technological breakthroughs
  • A realistic price setting for carbon emissions.

Observations to be made on uncertainties

But there are certain observations we can offer on some of these uncertainties. For one, the price of solar and wind continues to decrease steadily. Coupled with the increase in battery storage technology, this has put the renewable argument to the fore. The cost of hydrogen production is also plummeting and—due to a likely surge in the availability of cheap renewable power—electrolysis is making hydrogen power a realistic contender for the fuel crown.

Forecast growth of electric and hybrid cars also continues to push further upwards. The effect of 1mn electric cars—assumed by 2035—is to reduce crude oil demand by 1mn bl/d. But we are conscious of the fact that, in developed economies, carpools are rotated every seven years. If the fashion for electric cars accelerates, then that timeframe could get rapidly shorter.

Policy goals to reduce diesel cars

European governments, for example, those of France and the UK, have also set policy goals to reduce the number of diesel cars. A big reduction in diesel engines will have an immediate effect on the price of the middle distillate. If coker investments carry on, then it is possible to imagine a scenario where the differential between diesel and HFO will narrow.

The use of marine gasoil (MGO) in engines has not increased as rapidly as we thought, perhaps as ship engineers still think in terms of volume ($/t) rather than energy content ($/mn Btu). There is also a lubricity argument in favor of higher viscosity fuels, while low viscosity MGO needs cooling before it enters the engine and thus, if VLSFO is available, it is more ‘engineer acceptable’. But the question will arise again once NOx and PMO specifications are tightened ­further.

Reflections on regulations and other unforeseen market dynamics in 2020

Søren Høll, CEO at International bunker trading firm KPI OceanConnect, on Tuesday (18 August) published an article sharing his reflections on regulations and other unforeseen market dynamics in 2020 have disrupted the bunker fuel market and outlines the relevance of his company’s role in weathering these forces:

IMO 2020, or ‘MARPOL Annex VI, regulation 14’ as it was less memorably known back when we started preparing for it in 2018, was always going to bring huge changes for shipping.

For some people, it was even going to be as substantial as ships’ switch from coal to oil in the early 20th century. Those predictions have fortunately proven to be unfounded so far, but there hasn’t been any shortage of challenges for our industry in the wake of IMO 2020’s arrival.

Mergers for expansion

During the last few weeks as we’ve been concluding our merger with OceanConnect and I’ve had a chance to reflect on how far we’ve come this year.

  • It’s easy to forget that crude prices started to slide not only because of Covid-19 in February and March but also due to disagreements within OPEC+ about how much oil they should produce. Covid-19 has reduced demand for oil and created a huge glut of both crude and refined products. Even if a vaccine emerges soon, we’re unlikely to see this oversupply abate entirely; not least because countries like Venezuela, Libya, and Iran with huge crude reserves are currently ‘offline.’
  • At times in January, it looked as though shipowners who’d invested in scrubbers for their fleets could see payback periods of less than two years in some cases. By March, however, the spread between 3.5% HSFO and 0.5% VLSFO dropped to as low as $40 a tonne from over $300, and payback periods are now commonly assumed to be at least four or five years. We’re unlikely to see sustained interest for retrofitting scrubbers as long as the spread remains low. On new builds, I’m slightly more optimistic about positive economics.
  • By common estimates, the three biggest cruise lines, Carnival, Norwegian, and RCCL together on average consumed about half a million tons of bunkers each month in 2019. For context, that’s more than 10% greater than total fuel sales of Panama registered by the AMP. Especially for physical suppliers in cruise hotspots like the Caribbean, which supports about a third of global cruise voyages, bunker demand is unlikely to return in full before 2022 at the earliest.
  • The bunker price volatility we’ve seen this year – and in many previous years – is a textbook example of why it pays to consult with your marine fuel supplier to help manage this risk. I was talking to a longstanding client last week, and for her, there are three big advantages to be gained from hedging and risk management: Reduced volatility reduces the cost of capital; knowing there will be no abrupt cost increases means that they can more easily plan ahead, and by smoothing out revenue and expenses they know they won’t need to borrow on unfavorable terms because they’ve got good liquidity.
  • The merging of KPI Bridge Oil and OceanConnect brings together a wealth of knowledge and expertise, new ideas and ways of thinking, and a renewed energy to a changing marketplace. There’s no shortage of challenges ahead for the shipping or bunkering markets, but I’m very optimistic about the company we’re building and the value we can provide.

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Source: Petroleum-Economist & ManifoldTimes


Joining forces to shape the fishery sector of tomorrow is the newly launched (3 September) publication prepared by IMO, ILO and FAO. The new brochure will help promote safe and decent work in fisheries through the application of international standards.

The publication provides an overview of the four main international binding fisheries conventions/agreements* that promote the safety of fishing vessels, safety of fishers, training of fishers, and responsible and safe fisheries operations.

Guidance for policy and decision-makers in the fisheries, maritime, and labour sectors is also provided with a view to encourage the ratification and implementation of the above-mentioned fisheries instruments.

As fishing remains one of the most dangerous professions in the world, the sector needs to change to become more sustainable. This publication aims to support governments in achieving their commitments towards Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 8: Promote sustained, inclusive, and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all; and SDG 14: Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development.

* The IMO (2012) Cape Town Agreement (CTA), The IMO (1995) International Convention on Training, Certification and for Fishing Vessels Personnel (STCW-F), The ILO (2007) Work in Fishing Convention (C188), The (2009) FAO Agreement on Port States Measures to Prevent Deter and Eliminate Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated Fishing (PSMA)

Source:imo


The International Maritime Organization (IMO) is taking initiatives to promote sustainability and reduce harmful sulphur gases emissions. While the new regulation to reduced maximum sulphur content (currently 3.5%) to 0.5% will be fully enforced on January 1, 2020, it is expected that the adjustment on bunker surcharge will come into effect already at the last quarter of 2019.

  • Impact on shippers

With the new regulations to be fully enforced on January 1, 2020, carriers are getting prepared during the course of the year with some options available:

  1. Switch to low-sulphur fuel
  2. Use Exhaust Gas Cleaning Systems which commonly known as a “scrubber” to clean up the sulphur oxide emitted from the vessel’s engine.
  3. Change the fleet to Liquefied Natural Gas Ships that are powered by Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG). LNG is considered as a cleaner fuel with less emission of greenhouse gases including sulphur oxide.

To ensure a smooth transition, carriers have to implement the above changes before January 1, 2020. Due to the investment in clean energy and cleaning systems, there will be an adjustment to the bunker surcharge formula which is expected to be effective from the last quarter of 2019.

  • What is IMO 2020?

IMO is proactively taking steps to reduce marine pollution and minimize the vessels’ impact on global warming. Currently, most of the cargo ships use heavy fuel oil which is derived from crude oil and contains sulphur oxide. The gases can cause acid rain and trigger respiratory diseases. Therefore, the tolerant of sulphur oxide emissions has been tightened progressively throughout the past decade.

Also known as “IMO 2020 fuel sulphur regulation”, IMO 2020 is an initiative from the IMO which aims to reduce sulphur oxide emissions from ships.

By the deadline of January 1, 2020, all carriers will have to comply with the new regulation, which imposes a 0.5% global sulphur cap on fuel content and replaces the current limit of 3.5%.

Source: dachser


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