Speaking at a webinar hosted by Container xChange on the subject Demurrage and Detention trends in 2022—and how to navigate them, analysts shared their container market outlooks and predictions for demurrage and detention costs going forwards.

“We’ve started to see shippers really struggle with these increasing fees for containers that have been stuck in port and returned late, a situation that for many shippers is really beyond their control,” said George Griffiths – Editor, Global Container Freight, S&P Global Commodity Insights.

“Many, many carriers and operators have introduced strict free time parameters, and as a result these charges for delays have been levied against the shippers. They’ve become a really significant cost centre for shippers. Previously, this was a transient cost, people didn’t really look at it. People didn’t really pay that much attention to demurrage and detention.”

The issue has become thorny as free days limits were cut and detention and demurrage costs rocketed to around $100 per day in the wake of the pandemic, said Griffiths.

“2021 saw a major major spike in these charges,” said Candice Buckle, Content Marketing Manager, Container xChange, sharing data from the company’s annual Demurrage and Detention benchmark report.

“In fact, the global average increase was 39% for standard containers alone… the charges for 20 distribution centres alone doubled in 2021. If we look at what the state is today in 2022, you’ll see that in a lot of areas the trend in 2022 is decreasing slightly. For some outlier ports, like Long Beach and Los Angeles and Shanghai, they actually increased so that that ended up with the value in 2022 still being higher than pre-pandemic value by 12%. So even today, the spike is still pretty pretty much there,” said Buckle.

Chantal McRoberts, Head of Advisory, Drewry Supply Chain Advisors explained the root of rising detention and demurrage charges.

“It’s disruption, disruption, disruption, driving an increase in detention and demurrage charges. If there’s a shortage of drivers, a shortage of physical people and vehicles to get the containers into the ports and out of the ports, it consequently increases the DND charges,” said McRoberts.

“I spend most of my time these days providing therapy to shippers, whether it be freight rates or detention and demurrage. Everybody is focusing on these cost items and unfortunately, if you’re a shipper right now, your CFO is looking at all the bills and invoices coming in and asking ‘why am I paying for this?’”

Looking ahead, the panel did not have much good news for shippers hoping for respite in the medium term.

“These are heavily congested ports and terminals, and they have been for a very long time. We’re tracking this to AIS data at Drewry and everything is still in the red. Nothing is moving into the amber and if it is, it’s at the upper end of the amber still about to tip into the red side. We’re seeing that still continuing at the large US ports,” said McRoberts.

While forecasting a softening in total detention and demurrage costs, McRoberts warned that if US port congestion continues and spills into secondary ports, costs will rise. The scenario is very location specific, she said.

On the freight rate side, both Griffiths and McRoberts forecast spot rates continuing to fall, but not to anything like pre-pandemic levels.

Asked how he expects the peak season to play out this year, Griffiths’ answer was straight forward. “I would just say – what peak season? We always say that rates go up quite a lot in this time of year but they’re just not at the moment,” he said.

Even with a slight easing in demand and vessels on voided sailings being used to clear up issues, the task of unravelling the disruption is massive.

“I firmly believe if nobody wants to ship anything on a container in the next six months, we still wouldn’t fix the issues that we’ve got in the market at this point. The market is really snarled up, and it’s gonna take a lot of effort to fix it,” said Griffiths.

Moderator Christian Roeloffs, Co-founder and CEO, Container xChange, added: “We’ve always compared it to a traffic jam. If there’s an accident and a traffic jam forms, even if the accident is cleared up it still takes a very, very long time for traffic to actually flow again… it’s not the case that you just resolve the blockage and then everything flows.”

McRoberts agreed that peak season was not going to be usual this year, “because of the massive inventory levels that have been building up. I think if you speak to a lot of shippers right now, they’ve got a lot in their warehouse that they need to move and demand is falling. So they’re feeling a little reticent about all of that,” she said.

Source: https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/containers/peak-season-what-peak-season


NYK revised its recurring profit forecast for the first half its financial year, 1 April 2022 – 30 September 2022, to JPY720bn ($5.19bn) from JPY440bn previously. Forecast revenues for the period were also upped to JPY1.3trn from JPY1.16trn previously.

For the full year ended 31 March 2023 NYK revised its recurring profit forecast JPY1.04trn up from JPY760bn previously, while the revenue forecast increased to JPY2.5trn from JPY2.3trn previously.

Giving the reason for the revised forecast NYK said it had previously expected a decline in demand due to Chinese lockdowns and war by Russia in Ukraine, with liner cargo and spot rates expected to decline.

However, amid ongoing supply chain disruptions, we expect the profit of our equity method affiliate Ocean Network Express (ONE) to exceed expectations due to the continuing favorable market conditions resulting from robust shipping demand and other factors,” the company said.

It is similar picture for compatriot MOL. For the first half of the year financial year 1 April 2022 – 30 September 2022 it has revised up its net profit forecast to JPY500bn from JPY350bn previously, with revenues for the period upped to JPY770bn from JPY695bn previously.

For the full year ended 31 March 2023 it has increased its net profit forecast to JPY710bn from JPY525bn previously, while revenue expectations have increased to JPY1.47trn from JPY1.35trn previously.

Explaining the revision MOL said: “At Ocean Network Express (ONE) the company’s equity-method affiliate that operates containership business, cargo movements and spot freight rates are both exceeding the Company’s expectation at the time of the previous announcement on April 28th, 2022.”

It also noted “solid” dry bulk and car carrier markets.

Source: https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/containers/mol-and-nyk-profit-forecasts


St. Johns Ship Building was recently acquired by Americraft Marine Group, a maritime subsidiary of the US-headquartered privately-owned business group, the Libra Group which has 45 years of maritime heritage through its original subsidiary Lomar.

The event marked the first in a series of vessels under construction at St. Johns for Windea, a partnership of Hornblower Wind and MidOcean Wind,  that will go into service at the Vineyard Wind I construction project near Martha’s Vineyard, Massachusetts.

“We could not be happier to have Hornblower and their partners return to St. Johns Ship Building to build the vessels that will help America move closer towards energy independence and a cleaner, healthier environment for generations to come,” said Ed Sheets, executive vice president and director of business strategy for Americraft Marine Group.

The construction of this series of Incat-designed vessels also signals the official launch of St. Johns Ship Building’s new focus on dedicated high-speed aluminum vessel production. The Incat 30 is a 30-metre crew transport vehicle with a max speed of 29 knots and made of marine-grade aluminium.

The groundwork for this focus on supporting the construction of Jones Act-compliant CTVs was laid more than two years ago through multiple facility modifications and the acquisition of new production equipment for processing of non-ferrous metals and composite materials.

“Our efforts are reinforcing the industrial strength of US shipbuilding, and we remain prepared to construct and repair almost all of the various vessel types that will be required to support the future of this country’s offshore wind development needs,” added Ed Sheets, executive vice president and director of business strategy for Americraft Marine Group.

Source: https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/shipyards/keel-laying-jones-act-compliant-crew-transfer-vessel


Striking subcontractors at South Korea’s Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering yard have reportedly decided to accept management’s offers and end their prolonged strike and occupation of a VLCC tanker under construction at the yard. In a report first carried by Reuters and confirmed by Korean media, the subcontractor’s union has agreed to end its action if DSME agrees not to pursue legal cases against the union for damages.

Faced with increasing pressure from the government and with the potential of police intervention growing, the union and representatives of the shipyard resumed negotiations. Initial reports said the two sides remained far apart with DSME firm on its offer of a 4.5 percent wage increase in response to the union’s demands for up to a 30 percent increase. Recent reports said that the union was now seeking a 5 percent increase along with the agreement not to seek damages due to the strike.

South Korea’s news agency Yonhap is reporting that the police are prepared to move to end the strike at any time. The news agency said the police would respond if the current negotiations failed. Earlier, South Korea’s president Yoon Suk-yeol hinted at the use of police saying the time had come to end the illegal action.

Yonhap also noted a softening in the tone of the president’s remarks on Thursday. At the beginning of the week, Yoon voiced harsh criticism over the now 50-day long strike. This morning he said the people wish the strike to come to an end. He said a quick resolution would be helpful to everyone.

While the union representing DSME’s full-time employees has also been critical of the strike, the workers said they would stand with the strikers if the police attempted to move in to end the occupation. They have said there must be a negotiated settlement while also saying the occupation should end.

DSME continues to say that the strike has cost the company more than $400 million. On Wednesday, a spokesman told Reuters that the shipyard was delaying deliveries for eight vessels under construction for anywhere from two to five weeks.

Concerned by the prolonged strike, Business Korea reports that South Korea’s largest shipbuilder, Hyundai Heavy Industries Group convened a meeting of its divisional presidents to discuss the business environment in shipbuilding. They reported that the company said what has been a booming period is evolving into a crisis. They pointed to the impact of rising costs, global inflation, and the war in Ukraine as creating challenges.

Business Korea reports that Hyundai is also commencing contract negotiations with the unions at its three shipyards. In a first-ever move, the three unions have come together with a unified demand for a 7.5 percent wage increase as well as several smaller concessions.

Source: https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/union-offers-to-end-dsme-shipyard-strike-after-days-of-pressure


Thunderball has offer £0.09 per share for Lamprell which values the company at £38.8m, assuming the exercise of full rights under a share issue plan.

Blofeld holds a 25.5% stake in Lamprell and is associated with the yards joint venture partners in Lamprell Saudi Arabia. Sami AlAngari, a person acting in concert with AlGihaz.

Blofeld in wholly-owned Osama AlSayed the controlling shareholder and chairman of Jeddah-based Asyad Holding Group.

As part of the offer Maverick Investments, a company controlled by the AlSayed family and AlGihaz has extended a bridging loan facility of up $145m to Lamprell Energy, which is available to be drawn down in tranches.

Lamprell faces “urgent and severe liquidity constraints” with funding obligations of $95m due by end July. It also has medium-term financial commitments of $164m.

The bidder plans to take Lamprell private, delisting from the London Stock Exchange on completion of the takeover. “Operating as a private company with a simplified corporate structure and a reduced regulatory burden, Lamprell will be able to benefit from the elimination of the numerous costs associated with maintaining a UK public quotation as well as the removal of the short-term financial expectations of the market,” it said.

The bidder said it believed in: “Lamprell’s high quality pipeline has the potential to convert into a high margin backlog and believes that the market segments in which Lamprell operates are underpinned by positive long-term fundamentals.”

Source: https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/finance-insurance/lamprell-board-recommends-464m-takeover-offer


Despite predictions that the long downturn in the cyclical tanker market might be bottoming out, shipowners are remaining on the sideline holding back on new shipbuilding orders. Shipbuilding orders in the segment have reached a new low with industry trade group BIMCO forecasting that it is likely to cause a decline in the global tanker fleet in the near term. However, the contraction in the global fleet might be the good news needed to start the long expected, but frequently delayed, rebound for the sector.

In a new analysis of the shipbuilding market, BIMCO chief shipping analyst Niels Rasmussen reports that orders for both crude oil and product tankers reached a new low for during the first six months of 2022. “Unless contracting picks up, it seems that we may see both the crude and product tanker fleet reducing in size in the coming years,” forecasts Rasmussen.

By the numbers, BIMCO’s data shows that a total of just 23 new tankers were ordered so far in 2022. This amounts to a total of just 1.6 million dwt compared to a previous low of 3 million dwt in 1999. Orders included just three new crude oil tankers and 19 product tankers.

“The orderbook for to fleet ratio is at 5.1 percent for both crude and product tankers,” writes Rasmussen. He concludes that the ratio has not been this low since 1996, 28 years ago during another down cycle in the industry.

UK analysts at Clarksons Research made similar observations in their recent mid-year analysis of the shipbuilding industry. “The tanker orderbook is now the smallest it has been in 25 years,” wrote Clarksons. They calculated that there are just 35 million dwt in orders in the crude and product tanker categories. By comparison, containerships jumped to lead with the global orderbook reaching 72.5 million dwt as of mid-2022.

Despite improved freight rates and a positive market outlook as the tanker sectors seeks to respond to the sanctions on Russian oil, shipowners are holding back on orders. Rasmussen highlights several factors that are likely contributing to the reluctance to place orders. Shipbuilding prices skyrocketed in 2022 surging to their highest levels in 14 years. Further, weighing on the entire shipbuilding industry is an uncertainty over future technologies and increasing emissions regulations. Ship owners have been looking for the best technologies to future proof their investments, with Bimco highlighting that at the moment they are generally favoring LNG with most orders although methanol is drawing increasing attention in shipbuilding.

Near-term, Rasmussen expects that with the decline in orders that size of the global fleet will contract. He points to a projected rate of three percent for demolitions each year while the current build ratio remains low compared to the fleet size. Further, BIMCO highlights that up to seven percent of the tanker sector is now at least 20 years old while nearly a quarter is approaching 15 years in service.

They forecast that the contraction in the fleet, continued demand for oil in the near term, and potential freight rate increases as the markets rebalance in 2023 after the EU’s ban on Russian oil starts, are likely to create the need for new shipbuilding orders. Until those orders can be completed, carriers are likely to see a strengthening in the market as excess capacity declines, but longer-term term BIMCO points to increasing uncertainty as oil demand is expected to peak in the coming decade as the world accelerates its transition to new forms of energy.
Source: https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/tanker-shipbuilding-orders-reach-new-low-says-bimco


The U.S. Justice Department’s mission to seize Russian megayachts has an air of glamor rarely found in the world of sanctions enforcement, but the capture of the yacht Amadea at Fiji appears to be the most glamorous yet.

At the Aspen Security Forum on Wednesday, U.S. deputy attorney general Lisa Monaco – the second-in-command at DOJ – told attendees that a yacht seized in Fiji and recently delivered to San Diego turned out to have a special surprise on board. She did not name Amadea specifically, but it is the only yacht fitting that description.

“Let’s get to the juicy stuff: the yachts,” she said. “We recovered a Fabergé – or alleged Fabergé egg – on one of these so it just gets more and more interesting.”

The Fabergé eggs are a series of intricate, handmade jeweled boxes and “surprises” produced primarily for the Romanov family in the waning years of the Tsardom of Russia. From 1885-1917, the year of the Bolshevik revolution, the jewelers of the House of Fabergé made a series of 52 unique eggs for Tsars Alexander III and Nicholas II. Another 17 were produced for other customers. Today, a total of 57 eggs are known to survive in museum collections, government ownership or private hands.

Fabergé eggs trade for amounts in the range of $12-20 million – well within the means of the Amadea’s alleged owner, sanctioned Russian oligarch Suleiman Kerimov, a billionaire with ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin. Kerimov is not a listed owner of Fabergé eggs, but may be among the small number of undisclosed private owners who hold a handful of these artifacts.

Further high-value art seizures might be ahead as the DOJ’s “Project Klepto-Capture” continues. Oligarch Viktor Vekselberg owns more than 20 Fabergé eggs, along with about 1,000 other items made by the House of Fabergé; his yacht was seized in Mallorca, Spain in early April.

The U.S. hopes to auction the seized assets of sanctioned Russian oligarchs and forfeit the proceeds. The Justice Department has asked Congress to create the legal authority to donate the funds to Ukraine for purposes of repairing damages caused by the Russian invasion; it has also sought legislation extending the statute of limitations for certain financial crimes in order to enable a long-term pursuit of sanctioned Russian assets.


Florida-based Eastern Shipbuilding Group has filed a protest over the U.S. Coast Guard’s decision to award the next hulls in the Offshore Patrol Cutter series to a different yard, Austal USA’s new steel shipbuilding division.

In 2016, Eastern Shipbuilding Group won a contract for the first OPC hull and up to eight follow-on vessels, with potential to build up to 25 in total. The yard’s bid of $420 million per unit helped it to win over higher-cost options from more established military shipbuilders. After a devastating Category Five hurricane swept over its facilities in 2018, the Coast Guard agreed to modify the contract timeline and recompete it after four vessels. ESG invested heavily in repairing and upgrading its facilities, and all four awarded hulls are in varying stages of construction.

However, the Coast Guard announced in early July that it has awarded the contract for the next 11 OPCs to Austal USA, the Australian-owned aluminum specialist known for the Independence-class Littoral Combat Ship series. The decision effectively sunsets ESG’s participation in the OPC program after the delivery of its first four vessels, while providing Austal a new long-term source of revenue as the LCS program nears its end.

Eastern has decided to appeal the $3.3 billion contract decision, citing several potential areas of concern. In a complaint to the Government Accountability Office, ESG highlighted the cost and performance record of certain previous Austal contracts, Austal’s lack of prior experience in steel construction, and the potential cost/schedule program risk these factors might create for OPC. These considerations, according to ESG, should have outweighed Austal’s lower bid price per unit, since the RFP for the contract put a heavier weight on schedule, risk and past performance than on price.

“Austal’s purported lower price is overwhelmed by the substantial risks associated with an award to Austal, a new entrant to the steel shipbuilding industry with a record of well publicized cost overruns and performance issues,” asserted ESG.

ESG also protested an alleged Coast Guard leak of ESG’s proprietary pricing data, as well as Austal’s decision to hire a former Coast Guard commander with inside access to ESG’s information to work on the Austal proposal-writing team.

In a statement, Austal said that it expects to prevail in the dispute.

“We are confident in the integrity of the solicitation process and that the United States Coast Guard’s selection of Austal USA as the Stage II OPC shipbuilder will be upheld. We will remain focused on delivering world-class ships to our customers,” a spokesperson for the firm said.

Source: https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/esg-protests-award-of-offshore-patrol-cutter-contract-to-austal


Orders for LNG-fueled ships are rapidly growing reaching new highs as the shipping industry seeks a near-term step toward addressing its goals of reducing emissions and improving the global fleet’s environmental performance. While viewed by many as one of the best currently available options for the shipping industry, the debate continues over methane slip, the release of unburnt gas, which is viewed by most scientists as very harmful to the environment.

Shipping industry and LNG-centered associations have argued that the industry is making strong progress in reducing or eliminating methane slip with the newest engines. They contend that LNG is being badly misrepresented by environmentalist groups.

Scientists and engineers however are continuing their focus on reducing methane slip. A new program with participation from many leaders in the industry including DNW, Shell, and Wartsila, and being led by the VTT Research Center of Finland, aims at minimizing methane slip from LNG-fueled vessels. Chantiers de l’Atlantique and MSC Malta Shipyard are also partners as are CMA Ships, MSC Cruises, and the Finish Meteorological Institute. The EU has awarded the project with €7 million in funding.

Known as the Green Ray project, it was launched last month with a five-year mandate to study methane slip and develop solutions. The project brief outlines components focusing on analyzing methane emissions, as well as the development of two on-engine technologies and one after-treatment technology that can be applied both for existing vessels and new builds. The project plans to demonstrate system prototypes in an operational environment aboard two new ships and one retrofit to existing vessels.

The project is focused on LNG engine technology based on a low-pressure dual-fuel concept that is the most popular in marine applications. One of the engine technologies they will be exploring is a four-stroke engine seeking to develop an application for the largest engines in the market and able to reduce slip at all engine load levels. These engines are the ones most commonly being used by cruise ships and ferries, as well as the current gas carriers.

Looking toward the containership and tanker segment, the project will also work on a two-stroke engine. Working with a patented LNG injection system, they will seek to significantly reduce methane slip to support the growth of LNG-fueled propulsion in these categories of shipping.

Finally, the project will also be working with a sulfur-resistant catalyst system that they believe can reduce methane emissions by up to 95 percent. The goal is to reduce methane slip to less than 1g/kWh.

The project through its data collection and analysis will also contribute to climate data studies on methane levels, which will allow for a more global assessment of GHG emissions from LNG marine fuel. The data collected will be combined with onboard experiments and modeling to provide a more comprehensive outlook of the climate impacts of marine transport.

A similar project was launched in Japan in 2021 aiming to achieve a methane slip reduction rate of more than 70 percent for LNG-fueled vessels over the next six years. The reduction will be achieved by combining methane oxidation catalysts and engine improvements, while other efforts are focusing on adapting exhaust scrubbers to also be able to achieve capture of methane before it is emitted into the environment.
Source: https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/european-project-to-develop-solutions-for-methane-slip-from-lng-vessel


Offshore sector consultancy Westwood Global Energy predicts that there will be good times to come for offshore oil and gas development over the next five years.

2022 is looking like a great year for offshore development, though inflation and supply-chain impacts have tempered expectations somewhat. Offshore EPC contracting activity tripled year-on-year in the first half of 2022, reaching $26 billion, reflecting multiple major new project approvals like Exxon’s Yellowtail off Guyana and Equinor’s Haltenbanken East multi-field complex in the Norwegian Sea. The contracting activity includes eight new/refurbished floating production units, 52 platforms and a total of nearly 900 nautical miles of pipeline.

The second half of 2022 could bring another $46 billion worth of EPC awards – particularly from Saudi Aramco, which is investing heavily in four large offshore projects. Taken together, these contracts would amount to more than $70 billion worth of investment over the full span of 2022 – more than in any year since at least 2014, according to Westwood’s data.

The recent period of underinvestment (during COVID) and the return of ultra-high oil prices could boost investment for years to come. Westwood’s markety analytic tools predict a long upcycle through 2026, with offshore EPC spending totaling about $275 million over the period. This is more than 70 percent increase over the past five years, which saw a downturn in investment in the sector. The busiest areas of activity will likely be in Asia, the Mideast and Latin America.

The rising tide is also lifting offshore supply vessels and rigs, which are now bringing in the highest day rates in years – a welcome relief after an extended low period and a wave of consolidation. Clarksons’ sector-wide offshore index has hit a seven-year high, and OSVs are bringing in 50 percent more per day now than they did at the beginning of 2021. OSV utilization is vastly improved at 68 percent and climbing, and the laid-up offshore vessel fleet – a long-term drag on rates – has fallen below 800 hulls worldwide.

Source: https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/westwood-sees-five-good-years-ahead-for-offshore-oil-and-gas


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